5 takeaways from Election Day exit polls so far

The voters is bitter

Almost three-quarters of the voters is “dissatisfied” or “downright offended” with the best way issues are going within the nation. Three-quarters of voters suppose the financial system is in “not so good” or “poor situation.” Much more, 78 p.c, mentioned inflation has induced their households “reasonable” to “extreme” hardship.

Even with out factoring in Biden’s weak approval rankings, these numbers from early exit polling paint an image of an sad voters that could possibly be motivated to chart a brand new course these subsequent two years.

Biden’s approval numbers are nonetheless sagging

It’s an ironclad rule in politics that the president’s social gathering performs poorly in a midterm yr — and thus far voters are following the script: 45 p.c of these polled approve of the president, whereas 54 p.c disapprove, based on The Nationwide Election Pool exit polls, as reported by NBC Information and CNN.

The numbers aren’t significantly better when voters weigh in on the president’s insurance policies. Forty-six p.c mentioned his insurance policies are hurting them, 36 p.c mentioned they’re serving to and 16 p.c mentioned they’re not making a distinction.

It’s nonetheless the financial system, silly

Inflation has been polling forward of abortion in nationwide and battleground state surveys for months. Now early exit polls present the identical.

Thirty-two p.c of voters mentioned inflation mattered most in deciding how they solid their poll, adopted by 27 p.c who mentioned abortion. A trio of different points which can be usually good for Republicans adopted: crime and gun insurance policies have been at 12 p.c, with immigration at 10 p.c.

However, in a probably good signal for Democrats, abortion may nonetheless be motivating voters on the poll field: 60 p.c of these surveyed mentioned they’re dissatisfied or offended about Roe v. Wade being overturned.

Voters are whiter and older

In one other not-so-great signal for Democrats, the voters turning out are whiter and older than they have been in 2020. In accordance with early polls, 76 p.c of voters throughout the nation on Tuesday recognized as white, 9 p.c Black, 10 p.c Latino, 2 p.c Asian, 1 p.c Native American and a pair of p.c different racial and ethnic teams. The proportion of white voters is far larger than within the 2020 presidential election, when 67 p.c of voters recognized as white.

As for age teams displaying as much as the poll field, 10 p.c of voters have been 18-29 years outdated, 20 p.c have been 30-44, 36 p.c have been 45-64 and 34 p.c have been 65 or older. In 2020, simply 22 p.c of the voters was older than 65.

The early numbers additionally confirmed a cut up voters between Republicans at 35 p.c, Democrats at 34 and Independents at 31 p.c.

Voters agree democracy is below menace — however for various causes

Tuesday is the primary time voters have solid ballots for the reason that Jan. 6 assault on the Capitol. Democracy was one in all Democrats’ high points in 2022 and the central focus of Biden’s remaining midterm push, as he warned that “democracy itself” is on the poll — a nod to the variety of election-denying candidates who seem poised to win.

Voters in each events — 72 p.c of Democrats and 68 p.c of Republicans — agree that democracy in the USA is “threatened.” However they don’t agree on what that menace is.

Two-thirds of Republicans proceed to precise widespread skepticism about Biden’s 2020 victory although courts and election officers have discovered no widespread proof of fraud. Ninety-six p.c of Democrats mentioned the president legitimately gained the final election.

One other partisan division was discovered when voters have been requested about their confidence within the present elections system: Whereas 29 p.c of Republicans mentioned they weren’t assured that elections of their states have been being carried out pretty and precisely, solely 5 p.c of Democrats mentioned the identical.

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